In these hard economic times many
people are wondering how best to manage their costs, and healthcare costs loom
large in that context. Most people pay
for healthcare in two ways: premiums and out-of-pocket costs. For perfectly healthy people the premiums are
the bulk of their costs, but for everybody else the out-of-pocket costs are a
key constraint. Ironically, when
choosing a health plan, which impacts both premiums and out-of-pocket costs,
people focus on premiums and often ignore out-of-pocket costs, as they are so
difficult to estimate.
Thus, there is great potential for total annual cost as
a means for lowering healthcare expenditures for seniors, payors, and for ultimately
driving down the overall cost of healthcare. The bottom line is,
comparing and choosing an optimal health plan based on total
annual cost – which includes premiums, drug copays, and other medical expenses
such as doctor visit copays – delivers significant cost savings for
beneficiaries over shopping by premium costs alone.
Based on analysis of 2009 data, using total cost comparison resulted
in a 4-fold increase of Medicare Part D enrollments that minimize cost compared
to a total population who have enrolled via all channels (e.g. agents, brokers,
direct – most of which tend to compare premiums only, and not total cost).
In a related analysis (of a population of over 91,000
enrollees), we found that seniors who chose their plan based on total annual
cost estimates spent a collective $172 million out-of-pocket, compared to the
$205 million spent by seniors who chose the plan with the lowest premium.
That’s a difference of 16%.
Evidence also shows that using premium comparisons only can
result in higher costs to the Federal government in subsidies, and substantial savings can be
achieved through posting of total cost components in an Exchange setting, as is
proposed as part of the healthcare
reform on the Hill.
Further, adding transparency to a market re-orders the
supply curve, initially lowering product and service costs—which in turn lowers
premiums in later periods. This is especially relevant when market
participants have limited visibility as to the market clearing price, as we
have seen with Medicare Part D.
This is just one small piece of the equation with many
future implications for our healthcare system—but for now, transparency via
total annual cost comparison can at the very least make an impact for seniors evaluating
Medicare plans during open enrollment this year. There are
tools out there, for example DestinationRx
PlanCompare or Medicare PlanFinder,
that will estimate out-of-pocket costs based on seniors’ particulars, such as
where they live, the drugs they take, etc. This is a tremendous help in
choosing a plan that allows one to minimize total annual cost. In essence, the total annual cost calculation
is a personalized analysis of the “fine print”.
~ Alexander Grunewald